喇沙小學 vs 油天舊校

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Considering the number of application, you will have a better chance for YMT.
Normally there will be approx 150 space in P1. How of them is for first round. That will be about 75 space. Half of them will be given to application with older bro/sister in the school. That will be leaving less that 40 for you point counting first round.
LS is 36/848
YMT is 36/227
Chance should be a bit higher, since not all applications having more than 20 points.
2011/12學年小一入學自行收生階段昨日截止收表，以下是部份學校收表數目以供參考：
喇沙小學 – 收表約 848
浸信會呂明才小學 – 收表約 351
油麻地天主教小學(海泓道) – 收表約 388
浸信會沙田圍呂明才小學 – 收表約 383
柴灣聖米迦勒小學 – 收表約 252
聖公會油塘基顯小學 – 收表約 280
油麻地天主教小學 – 收表約 227
北角官立小學 – 收表約 130
鮮魚行學校 – 收表約 41
樂善堂劉德學校 – 收表約 19
(資料來源：各大報章)